{"id":2037,"date":"2018-10-14T16:21:21","date_gmt":"2018-10-14T13:21:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/?p=2037"},"modified":"2018-10-14T16:32:30","modified_gmt":"2018-10-14T13:32:30","slug":"kavga-buyuk-bir-kusak-bir-yol-projesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/?p=2037","title":{"rendered":"Kavga B\u00fcy\u00fck – \u00c7in’in Bir Ku\u015fak Bir Yol Projesi"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"C\u00fcneyt Ba\u015faran (cbasaran@bloomberght.com)<\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019in \u00e7ok \u00f6nem verdi\u011fi \u201cKu\u015fak Yol Projesi\u201d s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fcnler ge\u00e7iriyor. Bu k\u00f6\u015feyi takip edenler bilir; Malezya, Endonezya, Banglade\u015f ve nihayetinde Pakistan\u2019\u0131n Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi kapsam\u0131nda, finansman\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda \u00c7in taraf\u0131ndan sa\u011flanacak olan b\u00fcy\u00fck projelere ba\u015flamaktan vazge\u00e7tiklerini yazm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Fitch\u2019e g\u00f6re, Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi kapsam\u0131nda 2106 y\u0131l\u0131nda 16 proje iptal edilmi\u015fken, bu say\u0131 2018\u2019de 38\u2019e \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00e7esi 1 trilyon dolar olarak hesaplanan, 71 \u00fclkenin direk ya da endirek dahil oldu\u011fu ve d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7inde kalaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi, son d\u00f6nemde a\u011f\u0131r ele\u015ftiriler al\u0131yor ve kan kaybediyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7inli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00fcnyay\u0131 fetih projesi mi ? Yoksa\u2026<\/p>\n

McKinsey Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Jonathan Woetzel, Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi’nin mevcut durumunda ciddi bir s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 oldu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor ve \u201cBu projede eksik olan yerli unsurlar. \u00c7inli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yan\u0131ndan finansmanlar\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015f\u00e7ilerini getirerek d\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir yan\u0131na da\u011f\u0131larak \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 dev bir projeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u201d diyor.<\/p>\n

Ku\u015fak Yol Projesine yerli istihdam yap\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, i\u015fverenin hep \u00c7in men\u015feli oldu\u011fu ve projedeki \u00fclkelerin, tamam\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019e olmak \u00fczere b\u00fcy\u00fck bor\u00e7lar alt\u0131na girdikleri mealindeki ele\u015ftiriler geliyor. Laos, T\u00fcrkmenistan, Sri Lanka, Vietnam gibi \u00fclkelerde, benzer sebeplerle projeye kar\u015f\u0131 ciddi antipati olu\u015ftu ve geni\u015f kat\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 halk eylemleri yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Asl\u0131nda bu ele\u015ftirler haks\u0131z da say\u0131lmaz. McKinsey\u2019in \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na g\u00f6re, 8 Afrika \u00fclkesinde 1073 adet projede \u00c7in firmalar\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmakta ve bu firmalarda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n sadece y\u00fczde 44\u2019\u00fc yerel halktan olu\u015fuyor. \u00c7inli firmalar\u0131n yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ald\u0131klar\u0131 i\u015flerde yerli istihdam konusunda \u00e7ok istekli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortada.<\/p>\n

Ele\u015ftirilerin odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ba\u015fka nokta da \u00f6zellikle bor\u00e7lanma kapasitesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olan proje i\u00e7indeki \u00fclkelerin, y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerini yerine getirmek i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lar\u0131n alt\u0131na girmek zorunda kalmalar\u0131 ve finansman baca\u011f\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019e olan ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn artmas\u0131.<\/p>\n

Standard Chartered\u2018\u0131n bir ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na g\u00f6re Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi i\u00e7indeki Angola\u2019n\u0131n toplam d\u0131\u015f borcunun y\u00fczde 40\u2019\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7in tek ba\u015f\u0131na finanse etmi\u015f. Kamerun\u2019da bu oran y\u00fczde 35, Zambiya\u2019da y\u00fczde 30, Kenya\u2019da y\u00fczde 20.<\/p>\n

Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi’ne bir ba\u015fka itiraz da projeye dahil \u00fclkelere yap\u0131lan onca yat\u0131r\u0131m ve \u00fclkelerin artan bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcnden sonra, \u00c7in\u2019in projedeki \u00fclkelere verdi\u011fi ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131yor olmas\u0131.<\/p>\n

Projenin hayata ge\u00e7ti\u011fi 2014 sonras\u0131nda, \u00c7in\u2019in Ku\u015fak Yol\u2019a dahil di\u011fer \u00fclkere verdi\u011fi ticaret fazlas\u0131 h\u0131zla artm\u0131\u015f. 2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in proje kapsam\u0131ndaki di\u011fer \u00fclkelere verdi\u011fi fazla 30 milyar dolarken, 2017 sonunda bu rakam 100 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fm\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n

ABD oyuna dahil oluyor..<\/p>\n

Asya\u2019da \u00c7in\u2019in artan etkisi ve Ku\u015fak Yol Projesinin b\u00f6lgedeki bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke i\u00e7in, neredeyse tek bor\u00e7lanma kayna\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funa g\u00f6re ABD, oyuna bir yerden girmek istiyor. Uluslararas\u0131 Kalk\u0131nma ve Finans Birli\u011fi (IDFC) olarak bilinen ve ABD\u2019nin az geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerdeki kamu ve \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r projelerine finansman sa\u011flamakla y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fc olan kurumu, 60 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir fonu Asya\u2019ya Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi’ne alternatif yaratabilmek i\u00e7in ay\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bunun yan\u0131nda bir ba\u015fka bat\u0131l\u0131 kurum IMF de Asya\u2019da Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi kapsam\u0131nda yo\u011fun bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn alt\u0131na girmi\u015f \u00fclkelere kaynak aktarmak i\u00e7in devrede. Bunun son \u00f6rne\u011fi hem b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 hem de cari a\u00e7\u0131k veren ve 13. Kez IMF\u2019in kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7alan Pakistan.<\/p>\n

Pakistan, IMF ile 7 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir paket i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ba\u015flad\u0131. Muhtemeldir ki IMF\u2019in bir \u00e7ok \u015fart\u0131 olacak. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, Pakistan\u2019\u0131n yeni se\u00e7ilen Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Khan\u2019\u0131n, yak\u0131n zamanda Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi’ne dahil 62 milyar dolarl\u0131k projeyi iptal etti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 IMF g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinden ayr\u0131 tutmak san\u0131r\u0131m pek ak\u0131ll\u0131ca olmaz.<\/p>\n

Kavga b\u00fcy\u00fck..<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi \u00f6zelinde \u00c7in\u2019le, ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarla y\u0131pratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Rusya ile ve ambargo uygulamas\u0131yla hedef ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019la m\u00fccadelesi devam edecek g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada ABD\u2019nin b\u00fct\u00fcn Avrupa\u2019y\u0131 temsil etti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum. Bat\u0131 pakt\u0131nda \u00f6nemli fireler var. Baz\u0131 oyuncular da sessiz ve tarafs\u0131z kalmay\u0131 hedefliyor. Ancak zaman ilerledik\u00e7e saflar s\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lacak ve san\u0131r\u0131m herkes i\u00e7in se\u00e7ilen taraf\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k olmas\u0131 istenecek. Her iki kutup taraf\u0131ndan.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: https:\/\/www.haberturk.com\/yazarlar\/cuneyt-basaran\/2177551-kavga-buyuk<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

C\u00fcneyt Ba\u015faran (cbasaran@bloomberght.com) \u00c7in\u2019in \u00e7ok \u00f6nem verdi\u011fi \u201cKu\u015fak Yol Projesi\u201d s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fcnler ge\u00e7iriyor. Bu k\u00f6\u015feyi takip edenler bilir; Malezya, Endonezya, Banglade\u015f ve nihayetinde Pakistan\u2019\u0131n Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi kapsam\u0131nda, finansman\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda \u00c7in taraf\u0131ndan sa\u011flanacak olan b\u00fcy\u00fck projelere ba\u015flamaktan vazge\u00e7tiklerini yazm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Fitch\u2019e g\u00f6re, Ku\u015fak Yol Projesi kapsam\u0131nda 2106 y\u0131l\u0131nda 16 proje iptal edilmi\u015fken, bu say\u0131 2018\u2019de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2037","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-genel","category-turkiye-ve-cin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2037","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2037"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2037\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2040,"href":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2037\/revisions\/2040"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2037"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2037"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tr.uyghuracademy.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2037"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}